Finish of Season Participant Evaluation
Analysis

Finish of Season Participant Evaluation


Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports activities

Now that the season has come to a disappointing finish, the Sounders’ entrance workplace should reply some severe questions on what can/ought to be achieved with the roster going ahead.

Throughout the 43 video games in all competitions this yr, 26 totally different gamers began a minimum of one recreation for the Sounders. In an try and gauge how essential particular person gamers had been to the group this yr, I regarded into how the group did when particular person gamers had been within the beginning 11 vs after they weren’t. And I a minimum of discovered most of the outcomes fairly attention-grabbing.

A couple of MASSIVE disclaimers earlier than sharing what I found.

  1. The pattern sizes are small. I restricted my evaluation to gamers that began and never began in a minimum of 5 video games. This was an arbitrary quantity I picked primarily based totally on wanting to incorporate one of many extra polarizing gamers on this yr’s roster.
  2. There may be ALWAYS extra context that may very well be added to statistics like these. Strengths of opponents, if video games had been residence or away, and what different gamers did/didn’t begin are all contributing elements. They’re simply past my (very novice) capacity to research.

The Outcomes

Beneath is a desk exhibiting the variations in PER GAME stats the group achieved when the given participant was within the beginning 11 vs after they weren’t, sorted by variety of begins the analyzed gamers made throughout all competitions.


























Identify

Factors

Targets Scored

Targets Allowed

Video games Began

Video games Not Began

Pattern Measurement

Rusnak

-0.158

-0.047

0.263

38

5

5

A. Roldan

1.314

1.230

-0.117

37

6

6

Frei

0.771

0.839

-0.021

35

8

8

Morris

0.257

0.379

0.286

35

8

8

Arreaga

0.596

0.425

-0.408

34

9

9

Nouhou

-0.485

0.003

0.435

34

9

9

Lodeiro

0.600

0.750

0.068

32

11

11

Gomez

0.238

0.081

-0.140

31

12

12

C. Roldan

0.267

-0.082

-0.218

30

13

13

Ruidiaz

0.368

0.826

0.220

20

23

20

Rowe

-0.139

-0.387

-0.113

18

25

18

Ragen

-0.333

-0.100

0.269

18

25

18

Montero

-0.037

-0.243

-0.255

15

28

15

Vargas

0.374

0.192

-0.554

13

30

13

Leyva

-0.629

-0.249

0.328

13

30

13

Paulo

0.317

0.382

0.024

12

31

12

Medranda

-0.313

-0.144

0.127

9

34

9

Bruin

-0.361

-0.506

0.054

11

32

11

Atencio

-0.455

-0.425

0.127

9

34

9

Chu

-0.172

-0.425

-0.294

9

34

9

Cleveland

-0.750

-0.839

0.021

8

35

8

Cissoko

-1.194

-1.230

0.117

6

37

6

I do know that’s a variety of numbers on a display screen so let me speak about every stat individually.

Factors Per Recreation


























Rank


Identify


Factors


Pattern Measurement


1


A. Roldan


1.314


6


2


Frei


0.771


8


3


Lodeiro


0.600


11


4


Arreaga


0.596


9


5


Vargas


0.374


13


6


Ruidiaz


0.368


20


7


Paulo


0.317


12


8


C. Roldan


0.267


13


9


Morris


0.257


8


10


Gomez


0.238


12


11


Montero


-0.037


15


12


Rowe


-0.139


18


13


Rusnak


-0.158


5


14


Chu


-0.172


9


15


Medranda


-0.313


9


16


Ragen


-0.333


18


17


Bruin


-0.361


11


18


Atencio


-0.455


9


19


Nouhou


-0.485


9


20


Leyva


-0.629


13


21


Cleveland


-0.750


8


22


Cissoko


-1.194


6


Two gamers notably stand out for me right here: Alex Roldan in a constructive means, and Nouhou in a unfavourable.

First the constructive. Alex Roldan was evidently all however irreplaceable this yr. The group averaged over 1.3 factors per recreation extra within the 37 video games he began than within the six video games the place he didn’t. Whereas six video games is a small pattern he nonetheless had almost double the affect of another participant on the roster. To me this implies considered one of two issues (or extra possible a mix of the 2). 1. Alex is an especially underrated participant 2. The group has no different viable RB on the roster.

Now for the unfavourable… The group averaged nearly 0.5 factors per recreation extra when Nouhou DIDN’T begin than when he did. I’ve been a Nouhou defender for some time, so this was tremendous disappointing to see. Everyone knows his repute by now, a lockdown 1v1 defender with severe limitations going ahead. However as you’ll be able to see from the highest desk, and as I’ll additional clarify later, not even that was evidently true this yr.

Targets Scored Per Recreation


























Rank


Identify


Targets Scored


Pattern Measurement


1


A. Roldan


1.230


6


2


Frei


0.839


8


3


Ruidiaz


0.826


20


4


Lodeiro


0.750


11


5


Arreaga


0.425


9


6


Paulo


0.382


12


7


Morris


0.379


8


8


Vargas


0.192


13


9


Gomez


0.081


12


10


Nouhou


0.003


9


11


Rusnak


-0.047


5


12


C. Roldan


-0.082


13


13


Ragen


-0.100


18


14


Medranda


-0.144


9


15


Montero


-0.243


15


16


Leyva


-0.249


13


17


Rowe


-0.387


18


18


Atencio


-0.425


9


19


Chu


-0.425


9


20


Bruin


-0.506


11


21


Cleveland


-0.839


8


22


Cissoko


-1.230


6


Taking a look at these stats I’ve two principal takeaways (past the beforehand talked about irreplaceability of Alex Roldan). The primary being that regardless of their advancing age, Ruidiaz and Loderio are nonetheless what make the assault work. Throughout an honest pattern measurement of video games, the inclusion of longer tenured DP’s had the third and 4th most affect on targets scored this season.

The identical can’t be mentioned nevertheless concerning the group’s latest DP, which is my second takeaway. Rusnak began all however 5 video games this season however the group scored nearly precisely the identical variety of targets per recreation in video games he began as in recreation the place he didn’t. To re-iterate, that is an especially small pattern measurement, however this isn’t what you wish to see from a participant who’s supposed main function is to facilitate/provoke the assault (even when he was requested to take action from a deeper place for a lot of the yr).

I additionally discover it attention-grabbing how excessive Stephan Frei was on this checklist. One wouldn’t anticipate a aim keeper’s presence within the beginning 11 to have such an affect on a group’s offensive efficiency. Although I anticipate it was due much less to Frei himself and extra due to the sport plans in video games the place Frei didn’t begin.

Targets Allowed Per Recreation


























Rank


Identify


Targets Allowed


Pattern Measurement


1


Vargas


-0.554


13


2


Arreaga


-0.408


9


3


Chu


-0.294


9


4


Montero


-0.255


15


5


C. Roldan


-0.218


13


6


Gomez


-0.140


12


7


A. Roldan


-0.117


6


8


Rowe


-0.113


18


9


Frei


-0.021


8


10


Cleveland


0.021


8


11


Paulo


0.024


12


12


Bruin


0.054


11


13


Lodeiro


0.068


11


14


Cissoko


0.117


6


15


Medranda


0.127


9


16


Atencio


0.127


9


17


Ruidiaz


0.220


20


18


Rusnak


0.263


5


19


Ragen


0.269


18


20


Morris


0.286


8


21


Leyva


0.328


13


22


Nouhou


0.435


9


Two gamers leap out to me on this chart. The one on the prime and the one on the backside.

Obed Vargas having the largest constructive affect on the group’s defensive efficiency is a big praise to the younger Alaskan. I used to be stunned how a lot Schemtzer trusted the 16-year-old this season however this information actually validates Schmetzer’s determination to take action.

Nouhou then again… yikes. The group permitting nearly half a aim per recreation extra when he was within the beginning 11 vs after we was not is fairly damning. Particularly for a participant that’s speculated to be a defensive stalwart. I’m not going to put all of the Sounders’ defensive struggles this yr on Nouhou, however I don’t see how a group can succeed when your protection first LB has the largest unfavourable impact on what number of targets per recreation you enable.

Conclusion

So what ought to we make of all this? The hell if I do know.

Like I mentioned earlier than, these numbers are primarily based on small pattern sizes with out a lot deeper context. They need to subsequently be taken with greater than a grain of salt; nevertheless, I do assume they can be utilized as items in bigger discussions. And that’s the place you, the remainder of the SAH group is available in. Armed with this info, the place do you assume the groups ought to go from right here? Are there any gamers you now assume are roughly essential than earlier than? Do you’ve gotten any takeaways from the information that I didn’t point out? I’d genuinely love to listen to your ideas.

FanPosts solely symbolize the opinions of the poster, not of Sounder at Coronary heart.